Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Julio Jones Trade

I gave the ATL Falcons a B grade in this year's draft.

I would consider myself a pretty good evaluator of talent and every time I thought of a good 1st round pick for the Falcons (with their specific needs) the best I could come up with was Kyle Rudolph. I knew they would go offense to give Matt Ryan (next Tom Brady now) another offensive weapon to help the offense. Usually I don't think Arthur Blank and the Falcons make good management decisions but I think they got the best of us all this time.

The funny thing is the general "public" opinion is that the Falcons got hustled on the trade and Julio Jones wasn't worth the pick.  When we look back the best picks from that range will be Quinn, Fairley, and Julio Jones.  So, if the Falcons picked up someone like the 49ers Aldon Smith than yes they made a bad deal. The problem is in reality they got a hell of a football player in Julio Jones. Hands have been a concern for me but he's indoors 8 games so those drops will fall in my opinion b/c I'm sure him and Matt Ryan are playing catch right now as we speak.

Breaking down the trade I'm using quick statistics I'll say odds are two 4th rd picks don't make the Browns team. So, the trade will end up being Phil Taylor, 2012 1st (projected 30th overall), Greg Little for Julio Jones and technically they gave up Justin Houston as well --third team involved Chiefs.

The conundrum for me as an evaluator the players involved are all players I like:

Greg Little ...4th WR ranked by FST
Phil Taylor ..4th DL ranked by FST
2012 1st (were talking like 28+ overall)

FOR

Julio Jones ..2nd WR ranked by FST (with Ryan will end up being better than AJ Green)

AND

Justin Houston (KC Chiefs).. 5th ranked by FST ...is he a bust? He went 3rd round. I might have botched this ranking, yet I still have him as one of best 3rd round picks in terms of value. Sometimes value means bust because NFL teams smell weakness in a certain player and they end up actually being right, but I will stand by FST rankings...they are the best :)


..

I just see Holmgren sitting there with his cigar going hmmmmm (rich man obnoxious laugh) we picked up FST 4th ranked WR and DL from this trade and were double stacked in the 1st round next year. This kid really likes Greg Little a lot. So do i. Greg Little is an amazing talent and will be a star for the Browns for years to come.

I mean the Browns upgraded big time from this trade especially with these picks. That is the hardest part about evaluating this trade. But that is what I love about it most. Like were not talking Jabaal Sheard or any shit like that. Phil Taylor is a fucking monster. I'm scared of him as a DL prospect.  He's on the level of Haynesworth as a disruptive force in the backfield, pre-contract pompous bitch.

Yet at the end of the day, they will remember this trade as the Julio Jones trade. You know those bullshit questions ESPN asks Who will have a better career Julio Jones or AJ Green? Yeah, now Julio Jones is the lock because he is with Matt Ryan and ATL Falcons.


JULIO JONES 2011 PROJECTION
78 receptions, 1135 yards, 9 TDs
..I'm pretty sure this would make him best rookie WR of ALL-TIME, so that's what I'm saying

Most people would say this trade was won by the Browns but the problem is Julio Jones will end up being one of those receivers that we remember and all i think about with Julio Jones is Michael Irvin....he's a HALL of FAMER

Yeah congrats Browns you sniped FST's sleeper of the year with Greg Little (think Legarette Blount part deux) and that's what eases the pain of the trade for you as a Browns fan, but the combination of the QUINTUPLETS: Ryan, Jones, White, Burner, Gonzalez is way too enticing to pass up for two late 1st's   and a late two. (Falcons have been drafting shitty anyways) You know you get a 1st round pick even if you win the Super Bowl? ..yeah that's why it's not a big deal to do a little Time Value of Money calculation and give up next year's 1st (which is a fucking guarantee to be past 28th overall) and bring it to the present value and get a Julio Jones, because that future value next year might end up being pick #64 aka a win for the Falcons and FST. Some people will take quantity or quality of players in trades, I just prefer to have FST....yep Julio Jones is FST


Houston Texans vs ATL Falcons is the Super Bowl the NFL dreams about
....I still think the Super Bowl goes through Pittsburgh..and that's just Paul Pierce

Sunday, May 1, 2011

Favorite Pick Round by Round

My favorite picks round by round of the NFL Draft (in terms of 'VALUE')

1) Nick Fairley/Robert Quinn
2) Da'Quan Bowers/Greg Little/Marvin Austin/Mikel Leshoure
3) Ryan Mallett/Justin Houston/Martez Wilson/Hankerson/Mason Foster/Jah Reid
4) Davon House/Cecil Shorts/Tandon Doss/Taiwan Jones
5) DJ Williams/Buster Skrine/Chris Carter/Brandon Burton
6) Quan Sturdivant/Greg Jones/Jerrell Powe
7) Virgil Green/Baron Batch

NFL Draft Grades

AFC North

Pittsburgh-- B
Baltimore-- A-
Cleveland-- B+
Cincinnati-- C+

AFC East

Buffalo-- B-
New England-- B++ (also considering picks accumulated for next year)
New York-- C+
Miami-- C-

AFC South

Indianapolis-- C
Houston-- B+
Jacksonville-- C+ (finally got a QB tho)
Tennessee-- B-

AFC West

Kansas City-- B+
Oakland-- B-
San Diego-- D+
Denver-- B-

NFC East

New York-- B+
Dallas-- C
Washington-- D+
Philadelphia-- C

NFC South

New Orleans-- A-
Carolina-- D- (Cam Newton only player with potential)
Atlanta-- B (considering trade)
Tampa Bay-- A-

NFC North

Chicago-- C-
Detroit-- B+ (can't be best draft if you don't address CB and OL)
Green Bay-- B
Minnesota-- D+

NFC West

St. Louis-- C+
San Francisco-- F (DUMB)
Seattle-- F (DUMBER)
Arizona-- B