Wednesday, April 18, 2018

QB Rankings


Mason Rudolph - Grade 75

This is the best quarterback of the class. Throws a really nice ball. What I really like about him is his pocket presence and ability to extend plays. He has prototypical size at 6’5” 230 for the quarterback position. The most obvious comparison is Ben Roethlisberger. He has more polish to him than Big Ben. Ben has lousy footwork and he never really learned to have a smooth drop. Rudolph has a nice drop. Not as much arm strength as a Big Ben but he is a sure-fire playmaker that gets a knock for playing in the no defense Big 12. The reason the smart teams are scouting him is because he’s the best QB of the class. Don’t listen to the media. Fake news.


LaMar Jackson - Grade 71

What I like about LaMar Jackson is that he improved his completion percentage every year. He has plus arm strength and plus athleticism. This quarterback has the highest ceiling of the class, because of the athletic ability and to take a broken play to the house, or extend it and find a man downfield. He’ll get knocks for his accuracy but what your job is to put him in a scheme that highlight his traits to get the most out of him. This would be a West Coast/Spread/RPO/Read option system. He can use his legs and the short and intermediate pass game to make first downs and put him in manageable 3rd down situations. Too often this season he was not in manageable situations and the talent around him sucked. This is a guy where you want to get him to 3rd & 4 where he can throw it short, hand it to the RB (i.e. SaQuon Barkley), or keep it and run for the first down. If we’re short, we’ll go for it on 4th down. Whereas Aaron Rodgers if you throw the ball four times you’ll get ten yards every time, with Jackson, if you have this run first manageable 3rd down situations mentality with him at the helm you’ll make the first down every time. Honestly, who is stopping Jackson and Barkley tandem on 4th & short. No one. The comparison on him is Randall Cunningham because of the loose arm action with great arm strength and the freakish athleticism that makes you go wow.

Josh Rosen - Grade 69

The thing about Rosen is he doesn’t do anything great but he doesn’t have any true weaknesses. He’s just above average and solid across the board. For that, I envision he will fall on draft day. I want my QB to have bravado and I’m not sure what the big deal is with him. I guess it doesn’t come off that well because you got Mayfield who is worse but since he was a walk-on and his parents aren’t doctors it’s like a plus and you call it passion. I don’t know. What I’m looking here with Rosen is a Matt Ryan type. This is a solid, safe selection and you know you have a franchise quarterback. It’s not going to be a home run by any means but there’s nothing like ending up on third base. He’s above average across the board and if you surround him with talent he might end up getting you a ring before it’s all said and done.




Josh Allen - Grade 63

The best tools in the box for Josh Allen would be his pocket presence and arm strength. He has some decent mobility and is pretty good at extending plays and he has the arm strength to make difficult throws on the run. He’s almost at his best when he’s in trouble and then rolls either way and slings in 40 yards downfield. Maybe just don’t block for him and then let himself get out of it. He throws flat footed and sometimes treats the drop as something that you’re supposed to do not something that builds up arm strength. His best throws come from outside the pocket. What I think he needs to work on is to clean up the footwork from inside the pocket and a good QB coach will be able to handle that. His velocity is considerably down from inside the pocket and if he throws with timing then it should actually be higher if he’s using his weight properly. I always thought he was boom or bust but I’ll put his floor at Ryan Tannehill and his ceiling at Philip Rivers. Rivers is like top 20. He’s got a flashy arm but unless he starts maximizing the potential there he’ll just be your average top 20 QB at the next level.

Baker Mayfield - Grade 60

Baker is the most accurate QB in this draft class but Baker’s got some problems going into the next level. In terms of production, Baker was the most productive quarterback but going from the Big 12 to NFL defenses is like night and day. Rudolph won’t have that same problem because he has the size, escapability, and footwork. Projecting Baker to the next level, he has average athleticism, size, and arm strength. That’s a shame, because I think this is a really talented football player. You think he has this crazy athleticism but then you see he’s a mid 4.8’s in the 40 and realize that the Big 12 is just that awful when it comes to producing talent. Maybe his skills will play if you put him in the right system. He needs a West Coast type system and I think you’ll have to give up the RPO spread type system with him at the next level. The EDGE rushers are just too athletic. He is going to have to get the ball out fast and use his accuracy in the West Coast system to hit guys underneath in that timing system. The comparison on him is Jeff Garcia. You have to remember with Garcia he did well in San Francisco and Tampa Bay in those schemes but with the Browns and a spread system he was released some 10 games into a 5 years contract. I love his passion and bravado but he’s just a few tools short in the tool box. Unless they cater to his skillset. Not his perceived skillset.

Sam Darnold - Grade 58

Here he is. My man Sam. Sam Darnold is the beneficiary of a few good games as a Freshman and rode the wave all the way to finding himself picked in the top five. Excuse after excuse is given for this man and I’ll never understand why. Once the media gets ahold of a Freshman that performs well they never let go. It’s this notion that if he is doing this at this stage of his career than what can he become going forward. The first problem with Darnold is a below average arm strength. The weakest arm out of these QBs. You watch the film and the ball just takes forever to get there. His second problem is the inconsistency. He’ll throw balls on the money and then he’ll overthrow the WR by five yards. He has poor pocket presence. You blame the OL but yanno Sam if you audible or go hot or change the play and not hold the ball for so long then you won’t get sacked. It’s never a Sam Darnold problem since he was anointed the chosen one by the media since his Freshman season. It’s he has no blocking, he has poor coaching, and the problem is Sam Darnold. When I look at a quarterback, one of the most valuable traits is his decision-making and Darnold just doesn’t have a good combination of thinking he can make throws with his below average arm strength. I watch DB highlights and I keep seeing Sam Darnold INT’s. I watch Sam Darnold highlights and I’m like that ball is picked. In the NFL, that’s an INT. What else do I got with this guy, average athleticism. He extended plays at the college level but that’s not gonna play in the NFL. I got this guy as an Andy Dalton. He is just an average across the board. The difference between him and Rosen is Rosen is above average across the board. They’ll call that polish and you could see that in the USC-UCLA game. The fact that Darnold finds himself rated ahead of Rosen is perplexing. When Sam Darnold goes top five, he’ll be one of the biggest busts in NFL history.

Wednesday, April 11, 2018

Mock Draft 1.0

1) CLEVELAND - SaQuon Barkley RB PENN STATE
2) NEW YORK JETS (via NYG) - Sam Darnold QB USC
3) NEW YORK GIANTS - Bradley Chubb DE NC STATE
4) BUFFALO (via CLE) - Josh Allen QB WYOMING
5) DENVER  - Josh Rosen QB UCLA
6) INDIANAPOLIS - Quenton Nelson G NOTRE DAME
7) TAMPA BAY - Derwin James S FLORIDA STATE
8) CHICAGO - Marcus Davenport DE UTSA
9) SAN FRANCISCO - Roquan Smith LB GEORGIA
10) OAKLAND - Minkah Fitzpatrick DB ALABAMA
11) MIAMI - Rashaan Evans LB ALABAMA
12) CLEVELAND - LaMar Jackson QB LOUISVILLE
13) WASHINGTON - Tremaine Edmunds LB VA TECH
14) GREEN BAY - Josh Jackson CB IOWA
15) ARIZONA - Baker Mayfield QB OKLAHOMA
16) BALTIMORE - Calvin Ridley WR ALABAMA
17) SAN DIEGO - Leighton Vander Esch LB BOISE STATE
18) SEATTLE - Jaire Alexander CB LOUISVILLE
19) DALLAS - Da'Ron Payne DT ALABAMA
20) DETROIT - Derrius Guice RB LSU
21) CINCINNATI - Will Hernandez G UTEP
22) CLEVELAND - Kolton Miler OT UCLA
23) NEW ENGLAND - Dallas Goedert TE SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
24) CAROLINA - Courtland Sutton WR SMU
25) TENNESSEE - Harold Landry EDGE BOSTON COLLEGE
26) ATLANTA - Taven Bryan DT FLORIDA
27) NEW ORLEANS - DJ Moore WR MARYLAND
28) PITTSBURGH - Malik Jefferson LB TEXAS
29) JACKSONVILLE - Mike McGlinchey OT NOTRE DAME
30) MINNESOTA - Orlando Brown OT OKLAHOMA
31) NEW ENGLAND - Mason Rudolph QB OKLAHOMA STATE
32) PHILADELPHIA - Sony Michel RB GEORGIA