Wednesday, April 24, 2013

FINAL Mock Draft Version 2.0


1) Kansas City Chiefs-- Luke Joeckel OT
2) Jacksonville Jaguars-- Eric Fisher OT
3) Oakland Raiders-- Star Lotuleilei DL
4) Philadelphia Eagles-- Shariff Floyd DL
5) Detroit Lions-- Ezekial Ansah DE/OLB
6) Cleveland Browns-- Dion Jordan DE/OLB
7) Arizona Cardinals-- Geno Smith QB
8) Buffalo Bills-- Ryan Nassib QB
9) New York Jets-- Dee Milliner CB
10) Tennessee Titans-- Jonathan Cooper G
11) San Diego Chargers-- Lane Johnson OT
12) Miami Dolphins-- Xavier Rhodes CB
13) New York Jets-- Barkevious Mingo DE/OLB
14) Carolina Panthers-- Sheldon Richardson DL
15) New Orleans Saints-- Jarvis Jones LB
16) St. Louis Rams-- DeAndre Hopkins WR
17) Pittsburgh Steelers -- Tavon Austin WR
18) Dallas Cowboys-- Kenny Vaccaro S
19) New York Giants-- Chance Warmack G
20) Chicago Bears-- Cordarrelle Patterson WR
21) Cincinnati Bengals-- Alec Ogletree LB
22) St. Louis Rams-- Eric Reid S
23) Minnesota Vikings-- Desmond Trufant CB
24) Indianapolis Colts-- Damontre Moore DE
25) Minnesota Vikings-- Manti Te'o LB
26) Green Bay Packes-- Arthur Brown LB
27) Houston Texans-- Justin Hunter WR
28) Denver Broncos-- Jamar Taylor CB
29) New England Patriots-- DJ Fluker OT
30) Atlanta Falcons-- Bjoern Werner DE
31) San Francisco 49ers-- John Cyprien S
32) Baltimore Ravens-- Kevin Minter LB

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

NFL Mock Draft Version 1.0

1) Kansas City Chiefs-- Luke Joeckel OT
2) Jacksonville Jaguars-- Eric Fisher OT
3) Oakland Raiders-- Star Lotuleilei DL
4) Philadelphia Eagles-- Lane Johnson OT
5) Detroit Lions-- Ezekial Ansah DE/OLB
6) Cleveland Browns-- Dion Jordan DE/OLB
7) Arizona Cardinals-- Barkevious Mingo DE/OLB
8) Buffalo Bills-- Ryan Nassib QB
9) New York Jets-- Dee Milliner CB
10) Tennessee Titans-- Jonathan Cooper G
11) San Diego Chargers-- DJ Fluker OT
12) Miami Dolphins-- Xavier Rhodes CB
13) New York Jets-- Chance Warmack G
14) Carolina Panthers-- Shariff Floyd DL
15) New Orleans Saints-- Sheldon Richardson DL
16) St. Louis Rams-- Tavon Austin WR
17) Pittsburgh Steelers (traded to JAX) -- Geno Smith QB
18) Dallas Cowboys-- Kenny Vaccaro S
19) New York Giants-- Jarvis Jones OLB
20) Chicago Bears-- Tyler Eifert TE
21) Cincinnati Bengals-- DJ Hayden CB
22) St. Louis Rams-- Alec Ogletree LB
23) Minnesota Vikings-- Sylvester Williams DL
24) Indianapolis Colts-- DeAndre Hopkins WR
25) Minnesota Vikings-- Manti Te'o LB
26) Green Bay Packes-- Margus Hunt DE
27) Houston Texans-- Justin Hunter WR
28) Denver Broncos-- Jamar Taylor CB
29) New England Patriots-- Cordarrelle Patterson WR
30) Atlanta Falcons-- Datone Jones DE
31) San Francisco 49ers-- Tank Carradine DE/OLB
32) Baltimore Ravens-- Matt Elam S

Sunday, April 21, 2013

Why Tyrann Mathieu is going to be a Pro Bowler?

Since he didn't find himself in the top 50 prospects, because this is a deep draft, I had to give him his own little feature on the site. 

You look at him and you see he is a playmaker. I can imagine when he comes into the league he will be disrespected by the team that drafts him and puts him at a gunner. The Patrick Peterson's of the world don't have that disrespect thrown their way and the funny thing is I think that is the best way to motivate this guy. You get in his head and he plays angry out there and becomes the best damn gunner out there. He's flying around and making plays and then you start letting him return kicks and punts. He succeeds there and then you let him see some time at nickelback and he makes plays blitzing the QB or covering the slot receiver. With Tyrann, you have to give him a little and make him earn his way. He is already pissed off and hungry as is but you want to treat him like a kid getting the keys to the car for the first time. You aren't going to let him drive to Disney World quite yet, you are going to get his feet wet first, and I think that's the move with Tyrann.

I've read people calling him the next Pacman Jones and luckily he won't be making that much money so that won't be a problem. He is more in the mold of Janoris Jenkins, a guy that goes 2nd round and has a fantastic year. I do believe he is still immature and not quite there yet, but he is worth the so called risk. I view him as one of the safest investments this year. Yes. He fan flat out play and the funny thing about off the field concerns is if a guy can play, off the field concerns seem to disappear. Funny how that works.

Breaking down Tyrann you can see his playmaking ability is clearly evident. He has a knack for the ball and I've never seen a guy make so many damn plays. Not only does he constantly rip the ball out of the ball carriers hands, he tips passes, intercepts them, returns punts/kicks, and has a knack for the end-zone. He's nowhere near the athlete of Deion or Patrick Peterson but he is still a hell of an athlete. He doesn't have their speed but you don't have to have elite speed to be a hell of an athlete. I would argue track guys aren't even that athletic most of the time, they are just fast, and there is a difference. Could a track guy go from playing basketball to golf to baseball? No I doubt he could do any of those sports. The plays Mathieu makes are that of an athlete. When he returns punts, he doesn't have the straight line speed to outrun everybody but he has the ability to make cuts almost like that of Tavon Austin and he possesses incredible vision. He sticks his nose in there and doesn't shy away from contact. I think wherever you put this guy he will succeed because that's what great players do. Tyrann Mathieu is a great player. A future Pro Bowler.

Saturday, April 20, 2013

FINAL RANKINGS

I didn't see the point on giving a top 200 prospects list, so I just did the top 100 and let you into my brain for the reasoning behind the selections. Enjoy!


1)   Tavon Austin WR

Unbelievable talent. Incredible playmaker. Austin is just a swaggy individual. He has a Ferrari engine, only guy in this class with that sixth gear, a la Chris Johnson. Chris Johnson I feel has lost that gear in his time in the pros. Austin won’t get hit as much so that shouldn’t be a problem. While being a Ferrari, he has the acceleration and agility of a Porsche. He’s just zips in and out of cuts and his short burst quickness. I like a comp to Antonio Brown. He’s a guy that can do it all for a team. He has more speed and quickness than Antonio Brown so he will be a better pro than Brown. Is a player like that worth #1 overall? It’s debatable but five years from now I’ll be the one laughing when I have Tavon Austin and you have player X. Tavon Austin is a 2 minutes of tape guy. You watch for 2 minutes and stop watching. Kid can play.

2)   Eric Fisher OT

At the end of the day, I prefer Fisher’s potential to Joeckel’s current ability. You could probably also argue Fisher has a better skillset currently. Competition was a concern but he blew that away at the Senior Bowl. If we were talking pure “locks” in the draft he would be right behind Tavon Austin but he finds himself here at #2 overall.  Obvious comp is a Joe Staley and the CMU connection is there. Gotta love the Chippewas. I don’t think the comp is that farfetched and this guy has Pro Bowl potential written all over him. Ability to get off the ball has him edge Joeckel.

3)   Ezekial Ansah DE/OLB

I think Ziggy could play either DE or OLB in the 3-4 because hell he played about every position at BYU. I stumbled on a BYU game and I heard them talking about this ex-track guy who could end up being a 1st round pick. That man was Ansah and as I watched him I was impressed with his pop at the line I just question if he has the strength to hold at the point of attack in a 3-4. Granted he is still learning the game. I like his potential more than Dion Jordan but I think he has a lower floor. He is very fast, quick, and explosive. He has extremely long arms 35 ½ so that should help him with moves in the pass game and when he gets stronger to support in the run game. Stronger than I anticipated with 21 reps. A major gamble but the gamble could pay off in the dividends of the next JPP

4)   Dion Jordan DE

A high ceiling, low floor player. This is a pure potential guy. There is plenty of speed, pass rush skills there it’s just can he be taken to the next level. Specifically, he needs to add weight to his upper body. If I had a top pick I would want a guy like this but you’re not getting the second coming of LT or anything like that. His stats in college scare me. I believe his stock is in inflated but in a draft of not many top guys his potential has NFL people going crazy. I would be surprised if he contributes early and I believe his best fit will be in a 4-3 or a LOLB in a 3-4 where he faces the RT

5)   Luke Joeckel OT

Good left tackles aren’t something you see every day. I believe he has the ability to be a good left tackle. I wouldn’t call him a Boselli or even a Jake Long but he has the ability to play 16 games each year at an extremely high level. Low ceiling, high floor player. Pretty safe pick.

6)   Chance Warmack OG

In terms of pure football player he could be one of the few that finds himself in the Pro Bowl consistently every year. Guards are generally devalued on draft day because hell you can find one off the street and generally you won’t notice too much of a difference. Against some of the best competition in the SEC he dominated opponents. Another guy that is a “lock” great NFL player.

7)   Geno Smith QB

Just because he is a QB I give the nod to Vince Young, I mean Geno Smith here. He is heads and shoulders above the other QBs in this very weak draft class. He is mobile and has the best arm of the class. Ability to read a defense like Vince concerns me. Is he a one read guy that won’t make it in the NFL? QBs are a position that needs to be overdrafted because if you don’t have a good QB you will never win. Do I think Geno Smith has Franchise QB potential? NO. But I do think in a weak draft and with teams at the top of the draft in need of a QB he could be a top 15 guy in the league. How does that RGIII trade look now? You get Hall of Fame guys like Luck and RGIII at 1 and 2 respectively and then this year you get a Geno Smith in the top 5. That’s the draft for you.

8)   Lane Johnson OT

Very athletic guy and that is what you want out of your current left tackle in the NFL. These guys on defense are getting faster and faster so the offensive lineman must keep up so that’s why I like converted tight ends to be my offensive tackles. Johnson is one of these converted tight ends.. Long arms, strong, fast, athletic, good 3 cone and 20 yard short shuttle. Tested out better than almost everybody in those categories and he is not just a workout warrior. He is an outstanding football player. Also had the best 10 yard dash out of the big 3 OT’s so you know he can get off the ball well.

9)   Jonathan Cooper OG

Could be the best offensive guard this class when it’s all said and done. He was much stronger than I anticipated and his 33” arms where longer than I thought. The importance of that is he’s not just popping the bench off his chest and extending arms a foot. How that translates to the NFL is getting under the defensive linemen’s pads before he gets under yours. He has excellent pulling skills and is the most agile OL of this class. Another very safe pick.

10)          Shariff Floyd DL

As I watched games this year I kept noticing this guy on the Florida defensive line that just kept running through the opposing offensive line like it was a bunch of high school kids. I had no idea he would jump all the way up to #1 or #2 on people’s boards. I don’t know how much potential is left there but he is a very good player. When I watched him I was hoping he would fall to the 20’s but  he might not get past Jacksonville if they prefer a safer pick to Dion Jordan.  Floyd checked in at a good 40 4.9. He has the ability to play 4-3 DT or 3-4 DE. His versatility has helped his stock throughout the process. He’s an athletic guy and I was impressed with his 3 cone quickness but why didn’t he do the bench? Is he a more quick than strong guy?

11)          Star Lotuleilei DL

Early on in the draft process I stumbled on a Utah-USC game. Lotuleilei played well but I was expecting this dominant force that couldn’t even be stopped by a double team. I thought I was getting Haloti Ngata and I got Star Lotuleilei. It was kind of a bummer. The heart condition has checked out so I’m glad everything is okay there and he has regained much of his draft stock that he has lost. 50% of 1st rd defensive lineman bust and I would be surprised if he was one of those busts 

12)          Sheldon Richardson DL

He has everything you want in a DL in terms of strength-speed combo.  No question about competition playing in the SEC this year. He is a 4-3 DT prospect and I think he can really shine there. He’s got long arms, strong, and athletic. When you find players like him in the interior line they can really be game changers. I just hope he goes to a 4-3 defense as a 3-4 might not be the right fit. He might be able to do it anyway because he is that good. Wanted to hate this guy from the hype he got, but it was warranted. Bright future.

13)          Xavier Rhodes CB

This is the best CB of this class.  He can hit in the run game, which is part of the reason I like him. He is a tall, tough, physical, CB. He reminds me of a Pittsburgh Steeler CB. Explosive 11’ broad jump is outstanding and also recorded a 40” vertical which is the standard of great CBs. Being 6’2” also helps him even more. He has excellent ball skills and is a sound tackler, which is rare for the position, maybe why some see him as a potential safety. You never like hearing that about the top CB of the class but I think he is a football player and can flat out play anywhere you put him. He has super long arms for a CB and that can help him get his arms on the WR in press coverage. Outstanding height, speed, that can handle even the elite WR like a Megatron. Flashed againt elite competition at Florida State against Alshon Jeffery and DeAndre Hopkins. Pro Bowl potential.

14)          Dee Milliner CB

Okay finally found a more reasonable draft stock spot for this guy. I believe a top 5 pick for CB is reserved for the elite of the elite. Deion Sanders and my dude Patrick Peterson should be some of the only guys worthy of a pick that high. Why? Because generally the CB is going to get burned 50% of the time anyway and those special guys get burned less than that. Plus both of them had elite punt return ability. 20 yard shuttle concerned me for Milliner as maybe the quicker receivers can beat him with a quick move off the line. His long speed is not a problem and should have the ability to recover if beat early in the route. He has good ball skills, vertical, and can make splash plays for the defense. Quicker WRs could definitely give him a problem. I would love to see him and Tavon Austin go at it all day.


15)          Justin Hunter WR

Another guy I am just absolutely in love with. He reminds me of Mr AJ Green. Similar slender build and long strider. Both 6’4” smooth route runners with GREAT speed, 4.40, for a man of his size. His knock is not going up and getting the ball like AJ Green and sometimes loses concentration and drops passes. In a very deep WR class, he’s a no brainer as the #2 guy. If you want to go for a home run, he’s your guy

16)          Arthur Brown LB

Look for the guy with the ball and that’s where you will find Arthur Brown. He is a fast pursuing 3-4 ILB or 4-3 OLB. He profiles well at either because he is somewhat like a Derrick Brooks type LB. Ran a 4.58  and put up 21 reps on the bench which is more than I anticipated. I was expecting more in the 12-15 range so I was pleasantly surprised. Not as explosive as you want but neither was Derrick Brooks. Brooks just flowed to the ball and so does Brown so that's why I like the Derrick Brooks comp.

17)          Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Outside of Tavon Austin, Patterson is probably the 2nd best playmaker in this draft. I think he is a dynamic player and can take it to the house on any play. He has good height, speed, agility numbers. He can make people miss and many times watching him I thought what does he think this is high school but he made it happen. He won’t get away with that in the pros but he is an unbelievable athlete that can help on screens, short passes, returns and is generally a threat everytime he touches the ball. A little raw but he is a high ceiling, low floor player. Hands are suspect at times and I would like to see him catch with his hands more and run better routes. I like this kid a lot. Rare talent.

18)          DJ Hayden CB

An interesting story and stories like this make you all warm inside. Got hit in practice and was having trouble breathing. Had to have an operation where they cut open his sternum and literally open him up. Had a problem with a vessel in his heart and they had to perform surgery. 50% of people with this injury die before they even get to the hospital. I like this kid already. When watching his game film you can see that he is a special talent. He isn’t shy in the run game and has a big time acceleration and that is the source of his 4.40 speed. Ran a 4.4 five months after his surgery. He has excellent ball skills and had he not gotten the injury would surely be a top 15 selection. I would sure wish to be a fly on the wall in some of the interviews he had with teams.

19)          Datone Jones DE

Here is a Jones. Not the Jones you expected in this spot but Jarvis Jones has to wait his turn for his poor workouts and other red flags. I quickly fell in love with Datone Jones after the Senior Bowl and he has maintained that stock throughout the process. He is a 3-4 DE type and has it all for the position. He has excellent pass rushing moves for the position. He played all over on the UCLA DL this year and put up decent numbers. He consistently beat offensive linemen at the Senior Bowl as well as his time at UCLA this season. Excellent motor, chiseled body, and just generally one of my favorite guys this draft. Another 1st rd DL that won’t be a bust. Solid player.

20)          Jonathan Cyprien S

He’s not going to be confused with Ed Reed but this kid profiles more as a strong safety, not free safety. He has a nose for the ball and isn’t shy to hit in the run game. He has good speed in the 40 for a strong safety, 4.55, and is also a very good vertical and broad jumper, so he is an explosive guy. Pretty good strength for a DB with 19 reps. This is the highest you will see this guy rated but he is by far the best safety in this class. He is a bit of a risk coming from a small school but he solidified his status as a player at the Senior Bowl.


21)          Barkevious Mingo DE

I have him solely as a 4-3 DE. Mingo has speed and can rush the passer. He needs three other guys on the OL that can help take the burden off of him. He is very athletic. I repeat he is very athletic. Had a 4.58 40 and almost a 40” vertical which is kind of freakish for a defensive linemen. Bench could be a concern as he didn’t test out there but is speed and agility compensates for any lost strength.

22)          Desmond Trufant CB

He makes plays. He forces fumbles, deflects passes, intercepts passes. He has excellent speed as well as quickness. Prototypical size and also has a good vertical. No wonder he can cover WRs. Tackling is a work in progress but in terms of a system that doesn’t rely on CBs that have to have such an impact in the run game he would make an excellent fit. Rich blood lines and a guaranteed #1 or #2 CB on your team. Pretty safe pick.

23)          Tyler Eifert TE

With the ever-growing need for TEs in the league this guy will be a little overdrafted. He definitely has the game to warrant this level in the draft. I love his natural pass receiving skills. He high points the ball, has great speed, and has potential to be a dual threat as a blocker and receiver. Not sure he has much potential left but he’s like a 78-84 overall Madden TE

24)          Alec Ogletree LB

He looks faster on film than he timed. Despite the “red flags” I really love this guy. He sometimes misses tackles and doesn’t wrap up all the time but he is a former safety so he is just getting used to the position. He’s a little lean and could use some work in the weight room but after a few years I think he could be very much like Lawrence Timmons of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Timmons didn’t time well either but he just flies around on the field and Ogletree does the same. Possible off the field concerns in the future. I hope he grows up. You can still Swag and be smart about it.

25)          Damontre Moore DE/OLB

He ran a slow time in the 40 but I don’t think he looks that slow on tape. Contrary to Jarvis Jones, who to me appears to be that slow on tape. Moore has length that helps his cause so he looks fluid out there and has no problem getting to the QB. Much more in the hybrid model checking in at 6’4” 250. Pretty athletic as well had a great vert so really he is just one of these hybrids that’s not as athletic as the speedsters but he’s no slouch either. Could probably work on strength as I don’t think he is ready to assume the role of ROLB and handle LT in the NFL

26)          Gavin Escobar TE

Probably my favorite prospect this draft. Any great QB will say they prefer to have a great TE to a great WR and it makes perfect sense bc every baby ioves his blanket. The comp on this guy is Tony Gonzalez. He has better speed on tape than he timed and is what I call a vacuum when he catches the ball. Just sucks it right up. Dynamic player, true junior, so he’s still developing and maturing as a young man. Blocking could use some work but he needs to add weight and a good TE coach can rectify some of his problems. He has the frame to easily add weight. Future red zone nightmare and Pro Bowler. Absolute stud.

27)          Sylvester Williams DL

He’s a pretty versatile DL that can play in either scheme. Not quite as good as Sheldon Richardson but the athleticism and strength are definitely prevalent. He is pretty quick off the ball for a big man. Put up the standard 30 reps for DL and has above average arm length. That shows he is stronger than his shorter comrades and will help him get arms on OL before they get him. Could be a good pro.

28)         Menelik Watson OT

He is just a massive man. He is really just learning the position and members of Florida State say he might be the most athletic guy on the team. 3 cone drill might show he might be best suited to play right tackle in the NFL. In film, I like his ability to shuffle his feet and get in position head on to neutralize the defensive lineman or linebacker. Only put up 19 reps and the fact he should play on the right side and he has above average length arms makes me not worry about his strength. I expect him to keep increasing his strength in his time in the league. He might fall of bit because of concern of only playing RT but I think he can be a Pro Bowl type player on that side.

29)          Manti Te’o LB

Could be the definition of a low ceiling player. Might need great players around him to be great. Nevertheless, he had a great season and no one can take that away from him. He is much improved in coverage and is a sound tackler. I think a 3-4 might be better for him so he doesn’t have to cover as much ground but the whole fake girlfriend I’m over it. I’m pretty confident why I know he did it but I don’t care the kid can play ball.

30)          Johnthan Banks CB/S

Some have talked about him as safety and after watching this guy I believe he is best suited for a zone scheme. The fact he doesn’t have elite speed sometimes hurts him but when you have him cover an area he does a good job of reading the QB and making a play on the ball. He does okay in man coverage but much better in a zone. He is very tall for a CB and has pretty good athleticism. Short area quickness is pretty good and is an average leaper for a good DB measuring in at 35” vertical leap. Put up decent numbers on the bench for a DB considering he has longer arms than his comrades. Long arms should help him get his jam if he has to play press and drop in a cover two if that’s the scheme he ends up in. Good, not great, player.

31)          Kenny Vaccaro S

The way I would describe him as he has a great burst but then the RPMs slowly go down from there. You see him fly to the ball, but then he seems to slow up, he just doesn’t have that elite speed that you want in a safety. He has good size and is a good tackler. He makes plays in the secondary roaming back there at free safety I just wonder if the pro game is a little too fast for him. He has a limited ceiling but he will be a starter in the NFL. I would stay away because you can get better talent down the line for much better value.

32)          DJ Fluker OT

Offensive tackles, QBs, and pass rushers are the ones that always get overdrafted because they are at a premium. I like Fluker. He is nowhere near the big three OT’s this year but he can play at a high level. He played against SEC competition this year and more than held his own. He has the longest damn arms I have ever seen at 36 ¾   He is a little slow off the ball so I have no worries about him playing RT in the NFL I just wonder if he can stick on the more desired left side.

33)          Tank Carradine DL-Hybrid

Tank Carradine DL? Yes. He is a DT/DE hybrid, a position that gets no talk. Just because he is rated this low doesn’t mean I view him as a bust, I would just use him in a different way than most teams do. I very much see a lot of Justin Tuck in him. I believe these type of guys are best suited for some type of amoeba defense where they can play an interior line position. But Justin Tuck plays DE. True. But Tuck isn’t a tank. He’s a baby tank. I don’t believe Tank has the speed to play OLB and I guess he is best suited as a DE in a 4-3 alignment for the way NFL teams will use his services. His 4.75 40 shows he is just a hair slow to handle the position, but he is so strong he could handle going up against a guard. He is as strong as a tank, hence his name, and like Tuck, he can get after the passer. If you can put these athletic guys on the field at the same time that can do multiple things you can make a QB shit his pants all day long. Ideally I want no players committed to rushing the passer on a given play, that way a QB has to account for all 11 guys because he doesn't know where the rush is coming from. Sometimes a team rushes two and drops nine but the QB knows those DL won't be dropping back in coverage. Mark it down, a DE/DT hybrid is one of the rarest positions in all of football and he is one of those guys. If this position caught on in the copycat NFL he would surely be a top 25 guy. ACL injury also knocks him down a bit. I absolutely love this guy, but not as a 3-4 OLB.

34)          Jarvis Jones LB

Great pass rusher. Played against top competition and led the league in sacks but I question his speed and a few other things. I don’t think he is big enough to play 3-4 OLB so he is limited to a 4-3 LB. I also question his medicals that caused many other NFL players to retire. He ran a 4.94 and many players have overcome that with game speed but that still scares me if he is expected to drop back in coverage. He has excellent pass rushing moves and is a good tackler but he is a little overrated in my opinion.

35)          Bjoern Werner DE

I believe I’ve spotted two of the most overrated guys in the draft in Werner and Jones so that’s why I have them both as rated as 1st-2nd rd grades. Werner is not as athletic as I would like so he can only play a DE in a 4-3 alignment in the pros. He is a strong, high motor, relentless player in pursuit of the QB. A pretty good tackler and pass rusher but the thought of him playing OLB in a 3-4 should not be tried.

36)          Jesse Williams DL

He is very strong and quick for his size. I believe he has the ability to play generally anywhere in a 3-4 alignment. I think he could play NT in a pinch but with his quickness and he can definitely pull off as a 3-4 DE because generally you don’t need someone with elite speed or pass rush skills. I would put him as a 3-4 DE and have him handle his offensive lineman making it much easier for the OLB to wreak havoc on the QB. Do NOT run at this guy. It’s a waste of your time because he’s played a lot of nose and they had to generally use two guys on him to neutralize him.

37)          Jamar Taylor CB

Here’s a very athletic CB. He can definitely support in the run game and is a great blitzing CB, probably the best in the class.  He is strong as an ox putting up 22 reps for a CB is a top performer for the position. Granted having shorter arms helps him there, but that will hurt him in jump ball situations. He has elite speed and pretty good short area quickness. Has below average height at 5’10” ½ but since he is well built I would not worry about his durability. A playmaker.

38)          DeAndre Hopkins WR

Here we got Nukeee. He is a pretty dynamic playmaker and is a safe investment. The comp I give him is Roddy White and he should go in a similar spot as the Atlanta Falcons WR. While he has the nickname Nuke he doesn’t have the speed you would expect. He is great with getting YAC and has pretty sure hands. Long arms, and big paws are two great measurable to have for a WR. His straight line speed checks out but the 20 yd shuttle you can see his side to side change of speed is not very good. Often I would see defenders closing in on him and he didn’t have that gear to squirt through and find his way in the endzone. That would be a knock on his straight line speed. However, he still makes plays just like Roddy White but doesn’t really wow you with his speed or quickness.

39)          Ryan Nassib QB

Generally I like him more than Geno Smith but there are some few things in his game that piss me off and he doesn’t have a strong of an arm as Geno. His value is much more realistic so that also improves my like for him. The first thing I like about him is his mobility in the pocket. A west coast system probably suits his game the best because he is a good thrower on the run. One of the knocks I have on him is because he doesn’t have elite size he doesn’t drive off his right foot in the pocket he kinda does that Drew Brees tippy toe shit. His game is somewhat in the mold of Aaron Rodgers and Jake Locker. He isn’t as athletic as Locker and probably a better thrower than Locker and not as good of a thrower as Rodgers. He is a little older being that he is already 23 but he’s the 2nd best QB in this class.

40)         Eric Reid S

This kid lays the lumber. He may be a free safety but I think he might be better suited in the box. He doesn’t have the elite speed I need in my center fielder. The center fielder needs to be able to cover 2/3 of the outfield and that’s basically what I want in my free safety. He has a good frame and is an athletic guy. He recorded a great vertical and broad so you know he is an explosive player but he is more of an athlete than a speed guy. He does have great short area quickness showed by his 10 yd split and 20 yd shuttle, so once he gets going he maxes out and maintains that speed. Obviously, if I saw him in person and saw his MPH max after about 25 yards I could show you this. Normally, this wouldn’t matter, except he’s a free safety and you want that guy to get there fast and furious. Fast as is quickness and furious as in top speed. Should be a little more in there in terms of potential, so he is also a part projection pick. All in all, I like the kid but wouldn’t like him that much in round one.

41)          David Amerson CB

I just don’t get it. I don’t know why people dog my dude. He is a playmaker in terms of constantly intercepting the ball. He doesn’t necessarily fly around the field and cause turnovers that way but he is a CB and his job is to make sure the other guy doesn’t get the ball and get the ball himself as much as possible. He does that. Two years ago almost broke the NCAAF record for INTs in a season and this year still managed to have 5 INTs with teams not testing him as much. He has prototypical size 6’1” and speed 4.44. He has longer arms than most of his shorter CB counterparts and also had a decent vertical coming in at 35.5”. Pretty strong CB and helps in the run game. Some say he may have to move inside to FS and I think he can play well at either position. He’s one of my favorite 2nd rd prospects.

42)          Margus Hunt DE

The combine warrior. The unknown warrior. The ageless wonder.  He kind of came out of nowhere and he’s already 25. He’s very athletic and is a monster checking in at 6’8” 280 LBs and 4.6 speed. A physical freak but that doesn’t translate to the field all the time. Unbelievable athlete. 38 reps and 34.5 inch vertical. Love his 3 cone drill and I usually equate that to ability to get after the QB. For a DL, his 3 cone was off he charts. Blocked 8 FGs in his career, which is like LaVar Arrington legend. He could either be the next JJ Watt or next combine millionaire. I see the splash plays and then sometimes don’t. Sometimes I wonder if being a 25 yr old man and playing against boys helped him. Major HR, major strike out swinging kind of guy. No doubles here.

43)          Kyle Long G/T

Maybe a little high here but you can’t put a price on athletic, raw OL with rich bloodlines. Well, because Kyle Long is the only one like that. Just getting used to the position, a former college pitcher at Florida State so that might show what kind of freak we are talking here. Known as the best athlete in the Long family and I like his athleticism obviously and his strength-height combo. He is versatile and a bit of a project but he is worth the gamble in the middle of the 2nd round.

44)          Matt Elam S

I wish he was a little bit taller. I wish he was a baller. No he can ball but when I watch him play you can clearly see he is a vicious tackler. I love that. I like he has decent acceleration and top end speed. I like he is generally in position and seems like a knowledgeable player. He has leadership qualities. I don’t like that when he finds himself out of position he doesn’t turn around to make a play on the ball or when the ball is above him he goes for the read the WR eyes. The problem is since he is only 5’9” bigger WRs will be able to make those plays against him and then he walks back to the huddle all pissed. I question his ceiling and could be just a middle of the road starting safety.

45)         Keenan Allen WR

Ok Mr. Keyshawn Johnson. That’s what I think about when I see Keenan Allen. He is just too talented in natural wide receiving skills to drop him any further. He has the best hands in the draft for wide receivers. He is just too damn slow. If he was shorter he would be a day three pick but he is still a solid 6’2”. His junior year he ran a 4.5 and if that is what is true speed is then he won’t have a problem. When watching him on tape he doesn’t look that slow but he doesn’t look that explosive either. He should be a 1,000 yards a year kind of guy

46)          Justin Pugh T/G

I stumbled on this guy earlier in the year and was like no one gets by him. I was excited to see him declare but as the process went on he had some things that I didn’t like. He checked in with short arms and that is one of my biggest things when it comes to OL. He is able to compensate for that with his athletic ability and always being in position. He also never participated in the bench press so with having shorter arms I would expect him to be somewhere in the mid 30 reps and I can imagine the reason he didn’t is because he would do around 20 reps which would drop him at least a round in the draft. Having shorter arms and being as athletic as him are reasons I could see him becoming an effective guard in the NFL if the whole OT thing doesn’t work out.

47)          Jamie Collins LB

This guy is another one of my favorite 2nd rd propsects. His tape looks great. He has prototypical measurable for a 3-4 OLB at 6’3” 250 and runs a 4.6. He has good, not great short area quickness but for an OLB I’m more concerned with the 10 yd split and he is very good in that regard. He is a freak jumper so you know he has a strong lower body. The best broad jump I’ve ever seen for a LB at 11’7” and also recorded a 41.5” vertical jump. When you also add in the fact he put up 19 reps and you can see these attributes it adds up to a good player. I think he has more untapped development as well, so he could get even better.

48)          Quinton Patton WR

Another excellent WR for this DEEEEEEEEP WR draft. He is very quick off the ball. Decent, not great height at 6’. He has 4.44 speed and is a more quick than fast WR. He has the speed to separate but his best skills come in the quick slants and the shorter routes where the CB can’t keep up with his moves. He has good hands and can make plays. A pretty dynamic playmaker and he is a sure thing WR. He won’t ever be a #1 WR, but he will be a solid #2 for a long time.

49)          Kevin Minter LB

How fall will Mr. Minter tumble? On tape playing in the SEC he looks great. I really enjoyed him making plays this past year. He had over 120 tackles and was constantly making plays for that defense. He is a decent athlete in terms of make up. He is strong but you have to be an ILB and shed blocks.  He is on the shorter end but I’m not really concerned with that. I like him but if he fails it will be due to not being able to handle the speed of the game. I really wish he would do some speed exercises and I think he has a strong work ethic to do such a thing.

50)          Da’Rick Rogers WR

I call this guy baby T.O. He is a strong, physical playmaker. He has a bit of attitude to him and when he runs after the catch he carries people with him. He displayed those skills at the combine where he had some of the best broad and vertical jumps. He is a tall WR checking in at 6’2” ½ . The only reason he isn’t full T.O. is because he doesn’t have that elite speed and he only checks in at 4.5. He is the only true physical WR of this class and I want a blend of physical, elusive, and fast WRs. I consider him a better investment than a 6’ guy with 4.5 speed like a Robert Woods. He has so called baggage but that is a bunch of nothing to me. I love this kid, another one of my favorite prospects of this class.

51)          Philip Thomas S
52)          Zach Ertz TE
53)          Khaseem Greene LB
54)          Larry Warford G
55)          Robert Woods WR
56)          Johnathan Hankins DL
57)          Giovani Bernard RB
58)          EJ Manuel QB
59)          Eddie Lacy RB
60)          Tyrann Mathieu CB
61)          Brandon Williams DL
62)          Terrance Williams WR
63)          John Jenkins DL
64)          Shamarko Thomas S
65)          Kawann Short DL
66)          Terron Armstead OT
67)          DJ Swearinger S
68)          Aaron Dobson WR
69)          Sio Moore LB
70)          Matt Barkley QB
71)          Alex Okafor OLB
72)          Stedman Bailey WR
73)          B.W. Webb CB
74)          Marcus Lattimore RB
75)          Markus Wheaton WR
76)          Robert Alford CB
77)          Jon Bostic ILB
78)          Tharold Simon CB
79)          Brian Winters G
80)          Mike Glennon QB
81)          Blidi Wreh-Wilson CB
82)          Bennie Logan DL
83)          JJ Wilcox S
84)          Jordan Poyer CB
85)          Knile Davis RB
86)          Travis Kelce TE
87)          Andre Ellington RB
88)          Darius Slay CB
89)          AJ Klein LB
90)          Brian Schwenke C
91)          Michael Buchanan OLB
92)          Barrett Jones C/G
93)          David Bakhtiari OT
94)          John Simon DE/OLB
95)          Dallas Thomas OT
96)          Marquise Goodwin WR
97)          Tyler Bray QB
98)          Vance McDonald TE
99)          Christine Michael RB
100)     Travis Frederick C

Monday, April 1, 2013

Why Tavon Austin is #1 Prospect?

There are many reasons to view Tavon Austin as the #1 prospect in this draft. The first being the draft class that he is a part of. This class has no sure-fire "elite" prospects that jump out on the page like RGIII or Jadeveon Clowney that make it easy to find the top guy in the draft. When you delve a little deeper you see that this guy has that next gear that no other player has this draft. It is easy to see his playmaking ability but when you watch him getting closed in by defenders he has the speed to beat them to the spot and get in the endzone. Very few guys have agility, acceleration, as well as elite speed and Tavon has all three. He has side to side juking ability, acceleration to explode off the ball and that elite speed to outrun the entire defense. Quite frankly, it would be hard to tackle him in a phone booth. He won't run you over but it sure is hard to bring this guy down. He is a PLAYMAKER that can be used in a variety of ways and I love his versatility. He can return kicks, catch bubble screens, and you can even hand him the ball if you wanted to; he is that good.

I like to think the FST formula of grading players is pretty iron clad and he maxes out each of the criteria. He is the only true three star of this class. The track record we have of grading players speaks for itself and only a handful of times the #1 rated guy has found himself going first overall. Part of that goes with the grading process as most people are sheep and when one guy says they think the guy is the best the rest follow suit.

I heavily look at risk when evaluating the top guy in the class. Some people talk about Austin's size as a potential risk but Percy Harvin has done pretty well. Percy's injury problems have come from ankle issues and that is a taxing injury not one where you are getting annihilated that causes an injury. This draft should be very heavy for defense and I don't see any defensive player that matches Austin's ability and risk. I guarantee some of the top 10 defensive prospects will be busts or disappointments and I view Austin as a sure-fire guaranteed great player. He might not find himself in the Hall of Fame, which you want in the best prospect in the class but I don't view this class as having many Hall of Fame prospects. Guys like Jordan, Milliner, Ansah, Lotuleilei all have risks higher than I view in Austin. Jordan and Ansah are workout warriors and very well could have problems translating into the NFL. Lotuleilei has a heart condition and really when looking at him I was expecting another Haloti Ngata but too often a double team was able to neutralize his game. Milliner is pretty solid but even he will be overdrafted as when I look at him he doesn't resemble a shutdown corner. Shutdown CBs like Deion Sanders and Patrick Peterson both went 5th overall and would you rather have them or Dee Milliner at #5, I would prefer the former. Many would agree but the point is you need value when you are drafting that high.

When you look at OT Luke Joeckel you might be expecting a Tony Boselli type but I think he will never be more than a great starting OT. Jake Long was drafted #1 overall as a Boselli type and he was off the team four years after he was drafted. He was supposed to be iron clad, as OT are some of the safest picks, but he too found himself as a disappointment. 

It is hard to argue a WR not in the mold of Calvin Johnson is worthy of a top selection. WRs are generally a dime a dozen but I think a guy like Tavon Austin finds himself in that special two guys that aren't part of that dime or everyday WR. He truly is a special talent. With WRs being found all over the draft, drafting one early needs to be basically a Hall of Fame type guy, but when you look at everything that makes up a Tavon Austin, it is a skill set you won't find in any player drafted in the later rounds. I wouldn't be surprised if Austin finds himself drafted by Buffalo at #8 overall because of their need for playmakers in the offense. When you look back on the draft five years from now will you say that the seven guys drafted before him had a bigger impact, and I don't think they will.