Thursday, February 17, 2011

Mel Kiper Jr. Mock Draft 2.0

1) Panthers- Nick Fairley DL
2) Broncos- Da'Quan Bowers DE
3) Bills- Cam Newton QB
4) Bengals- AJ Green WR
5) Cardinals- Von Miller OLB
6) Browns- JJ Watt DE
7) 49ers- Patrick Peterson CB
8) Titans- Marcell Dareus DL
9) Cowboys- Prince Amukamara CB
10) Redskins- Blaine Gabbert QB
11) Texans- Julio Jones WR
12) Vikings- Robert Quinn DE
13) Lions- Jimmy Smith CB
14) Rams- Cory Liuget DL
15) Dolphins- Mark Ingram RB
16) Jaguars- Aldon Smith DE
17) Patriots- Cameron Jordan DE
18) Chargers- Tyron Smith OT
19) Giants- Nate Solder OT
20) Bucs- Adrian Clayborn DE
21) Chiefs- Akeem Ayers OLB
22) Colts- Anthony Castonzo OT
23) Eagles- Gabe Carimi OT
24) Saints- Muhammad Wilkerson DL
25) Giants- Mike Pouncey OG
26) Ravens- Aaron Williams CB
27) Falcons- Ryan Kerrigan DE
28) Patriots- Torrey Smith WR
29) Bears- Ben Ijalana OT
30) Jets- Rahim Moore S
31) Steelers- Cameron Hayward DE
32) Packers- Justin Houston OLB


...I hate taking offensive lineman in the first round unless they are true impact players like Joe Thomas, Jake Long, and Maurkice Pouncey.  Those are the only three *** OL I have in my rankings.  Offensive lineman are going to get beat on plays regardless so the difference between an average OL like Anthony Castonzo and a 4th rd lineman isn't much of a difference.  They key to the draft is VALUE.  I have followed the NFL draft since 1999 when I was 10 years old and every year I see mid-round and undrafted lineman outperforming 1st round pick lineman.  It just doesn't make sense unless you know you are getting a special player.  You don't just draft a player because you have a need there.  You have at least 7 picks and you can find a OL or two with some of those picks.  Every year I would probably take BPA (best player available) because I would never reach for someone just because we need that position.  We would be a better TEAM if we draft a player that we know is going to be a good player and contribute to the team as opposed to a reach who has a high probability of BUSTING.  Luckily team after team makes reaches and allow my team the Steelers to gobble up players like Rashard Mendenhall and Maurkice Pouncey when we had no business getting either player. 


According to my followers, demand seems to be high and the supply I am offering has been pretty low, but don't worry we'll find an equilibrium as the combine and the true scouting of these players takes place in the upcoming months.

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