Randy Moss to the Steelers makes cents

Every free agent is the same. They want the big cities because they are usually the contenders. Randy Moss got screwed because he couldn't find a suitor, not because he can't play. He might want to miss training camp, but I know for a 100% fact that there aren't too many players like Randy. He can make plays that other people can't make. He is reported to be in great shape. He is still a 6'4" receiver as well that would help out in the redZone. I think Randy wants to play. I think he has something to prove. But if you want to think of it as a worst-case-scenario when looking at the investment, he will still demand a #1 or #2 CB every time he steps on the field. The threat of him catching a deep ball is in my mind clearly there. There's not too many guys who raise their hand when they want the ball...what a good student.

You are better than most teams because you have a great defense and a very good offense. Randy Moss doesn't make you great on offense either, because the O-Line isn't quite there yet.  However, Randy fortifies that WR core, but the line is still somewhat of a concern to me. 

You have to look at it like a chess match. For every game. What do we do better? How are we going to stop/beat them? Etc. You look at the offense, when playing a top-tier secondary team like NYJ, by having Randy you are taking away a strength of that team and isolating or maybe even making it a weakness.  They are relying on that secondary to shut you down. Most average or poor teams, they have no problem shutting them down because A) NYJ defense is also great B) those teams lack WR depth C) there is an island called Revis. Revis shuts down a WR so they would have to choose Wallace or Moss, instead of Wallace. Moss would take up Cromartie and then you have 86, 88, 84, 83 to throw to.  Moss just gives you so much flexibility in formations and BA loves his different formations. And then when you play a team then doesn't have a great secondary you just torch 'em. 

So when it comes down to winning ball games it is all just matchups. Certain offenses succeed against certain defenses and people are perplexed how it happens. This move makes an already explosive offense, a little more dangerous. I think signing Moss makes the Steelers the Super Bowl favorite in the NFL.

Randy Moss 1YR/$2.5 million ; incentives up to 5.5 mill

Pick of the Day: Who's this Carmen Electra?

Today we will be going with a dandy the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago Cubs. The Pirates struggle with power pitching so that could cause concern as Carlos Zambrano is starting for the Cubs. We have Maholm pitching whatever that means. It will be interesting to see D Lee face his old club and all that jazz, but more importantly to see his impact with the club; hopefully a permanent spot in the three hole. I like the Pirates because they have a better lineup that could potentially score 5-8 runs a game. I hate the odds were getting, bullshit in my mind, so don't bet the house.


Pick of the Day: Chicago Cubs (+125) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (-145)  ...... Pirates
......via sportsbook.com

Pick of the Day confidence: 8/10

Pick of the Day record: 19-14-1

2011 NFL Power Rankings 1-32

1) Philadelphia
2) New England
3) Steelers
4) Green Bay
5) New York Jets
6) Atlanta
7) Indianapolis
8) New Orleans
9) Baltimore
10) Houston
11) San Diego
12) New York Giants
13) Kansas City
14) Miami
15) Dallas
16) Tampa Bay
17) Minnesota
18) St. Louis
19) Detroit
20) Oakland
21) Chicago
22) Tennessee
23) Arizona
24) Jacksonville
25) Buffalo
26) Cleveland
27) San Francisco
28) Denver
29) Carolina
30) Seattle
31) Washington
32) Cincy

Pick of the Day: Priya

We have taken quite the time off but it's time to get back in the boat so you fools can buy some yachts or some other sweet shit. The board wasn't looking too hideous and although the Red Sox are overrated as shit they have BECKETT vs Niemann and Niemann is poo.

Pick of the Day: Boston Red Sox (-145) @ Tampa Bay 8:05 PM.............RED SOX
.......via sportsbook.com

.....and look how classy she looks. Love this gal!


Pick of the Day confidence: 8/10

Pick of the Day record: 18-14-1

36 TEAM NFL

i know i have done this before but i believe this is the absolute best way of geographically rearranging the NFL.  I JUST CAN'T HELP BUT NOTICE HOW MUCH MORE THE NFL COULD GROW FROM EXPANSION. I BELIEVE THR FOUR CITIES WITH THE MOST POTENTIAL/LARGEST POPULATION SIZE ARE: LAS VEGAS, LOS ANGELES, PORTLAND, & SAN ANTONIO.


AFC EAST
BUFFALO
NEW YORK
NEW YORK
NEW ENGLAND
PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON

AFC CENTRAL
PITTSBURGH
CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE
DETROIT
CINCINNATI
INDIANAPOLIS

AFC WEST
DENVER
SEATTLE
PORTLAND **
CHICAGO
MINNESOTA
GREEN BAY


____________________________


NFC EAST
MIAMI
TAMPA BAY
TENNESSEE
CAROLINA
ATLANTA
JACKSONVILLE

NFC CENTRAL
HOUSTON
DALLAS
SAN ANTONIO **
ST LOUIS
KANSAS CITY
NEW ORLEANS

NFC WEST
SAN FRANCISCO
OAKLAND
LOS ANGELES **
LAS VEGAS **
SAN DIEGO
ARIZONA

Top 15 Defensive Players

These are MY rankings but based of a sportsnation rank 'em list that only had the following 15 players on it. I guess they think these are the top 15 players in the league.

1) Troy Polamalu
2) Darrelle Revis
3) Julius Peppers
4) Patrick Willis
5) Haloti Ngata
6) Nnamdi Asomugha
7) Ndamukong Suh
8) Clay Matthews
9) DeMarcus Ware
10) Terrell Suggs
11) James Harrison
12) Ed Reed
13) Charles Woodson
14) Tamba Hali (not FST worthy)
15) Justin Smith (you neither)

Julio Jones Trade

I gave the ATL Falcons a B grade in this year's draft.

I would consider myself a pretty good evaluator of talent and every time I thought of a good 1st round pick for the Falcons (with their specific needs) the best I could come up with was Kyle Rudolph. I knew they would go offense to give Matt Ryan (next Tom Brady now) another offensive weapon to help the offense. Usually I don't think Arthur Blank and the Falcons make good management decisions but I think they got the best of us all this time.

The funny thing is the general "public" opinion is that the Falcons got hustled on the trade and Julio Jones wasn't worth the pick.  When we look back the best picks from that range will be Quinn, Fairley, and Julio Jones.  So, if the Falcons picked up someone like the 49ers Aldon Smith than yes they made a bad deal. The problem is in reality they got a hell of a football player in Julio Jones. Hands have been a concern for me but he's indoors 8 games so those drops will fall in my opinion b/c I'm sure him and Matt Ryan are playing catch right now as we speak.

Breaking down the trade I'm using quick statistics I'll say odds are two 4th rd picks don't make the Browns team. So, the trade will end up being Phil Taylor, 2012 1st (projected 30th overall), Greg Little for Julio Jones and technically they gave up Justin Houston as well --third team involved Chiefs.

The conundrum for me as an evaluator the players involved are all players I like:

Greg Little ...4th WR ranked by FST
Phil Taylor ..4th DL ranked by FST
2012 1st (were talking like 28+ overall)

FOR

Julio Jones ..2nd WR ranked by FST (with Ryan will end up being better than AJ Green)

AND

Justin Houston (KC Chiefs).. 5th ranked by FST ...is he a bust? He went 3rd round. I might have botched this ranking, yet I still have him as one of best 3rd round picks in terms of value. Sometimes value means bust because NFL teams smell weakness in a certain player and they end up actually being right, but I will stand by FST rankings...they are the best :)


..

I just see Holmgren sitting there with his cigar going hmmmmm (rich man obnoxious laugh) we picked up FST 4th ranked WR and DL from this trade and were double stacked in the 1st round next year. This kid really likes Greg Little a lot. So do i. Greg Little is an amazing talent and will be a star for the Browns for years to come.

I mean the Browns upgraded big time from this trade especially with these picks. That is the hardest part about evaluating this trade. But that is what I love about it most. Like were not talking Jabaal Sheard or any shit like that. Phil Taylor is a fucking monster. I'm scared of him as a DL prospect.  He's on the level of Haynesworth as a disruptive force in the backfield, pre-contract pompous bitch.

Yet at the end of the day, they will remember this trade as the Julio Jones trade. You know those bullshit questions ESPN asks Who will have a better career Julio Jones or AJ Green? Yeah, now Julio Jones is the lock because he is with Matt Ryan and ATL Falcons.


JULIO JONES 2011 PROJECTION
78 receptions, 1135 yards, 9 TDs
..I'm pretty sure this would make him best rookie WR of ALL-TIME, so that's what I'm saying

Most people would say this trade was won by the Browns but the problem is Julio Jones will end up being one of those receivers that we remember and all i think about with Julio Jones is Michael Irvin....he's a HALL of FAMER

Yeah congrats Browns you sniped FST's sleeper of the year with Greg Little (think Legarette Blount part deux) and that's what eases the pain of the trade for you as a Browns fan, but the combination of the QUINTUPLETS: Ryan, Jones, White, Burner, Gonzalez is way too enticing to pass up for two late 1st's   and a late two. (Falcons have been drafting shitty anyways) You know you get a 1st round pick even if you win the Super Bowl? ..yeah that's why it's not a big deal to do a little Time Value of Money calculation and give up next year's 1st (which is a fucking guarantee to be past 28th overall) and bring it to the present value and get a Julio Jones, because that future value next year might end up being pick #64 aka a win for the Falcons and FST. Some people will take quantity or quality of players in trades, I just prefer to have FST....yep Julio Jones is FST


Houston Texans vs ATL Falcons is the Super Bowl the NFL dreams about
....I still think the Super Bowl goes through Pittsburgh..and that's just Paul Pierce